Glasgow Rangers — Hibernian FC: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.0% |
| 12 | 79.3% | |
| X2 | 36.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.9% / 41.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.7% / 15.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.8% / 36.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.7% / 58.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.5% / 76.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
Glasgow Rangers
8th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.07.2026 away Dundee United 1:1
- 16.05.2026 away Falkirk 5:2
- 13.05.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
- 10.05.2026 away Celtic 1:3
- 04.05.2026 away Hearts 1:2
Hibernian FC
11th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 home Motherwell 1:2
- 16.05.2026 home Motherwell 0:1
- 13.05.2026 away Rangers 2:1
- 09.05.2026 away Falkirk 3:1
- 03.05.2026 home Celtic 1:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 13.05.2026 Glasgow Rangers 1:2 Hibernian FC
- 01.02.2026 Hibernian FC 0:0 Glasgow Rangers
- 15.12.2025 Glasgow Rangers 1:0 Hibernian FC
- 29.10.2025 Hibernian FC 0:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 17.05.2025 Hibernian FC 2:2 Glasgow Rangers
- 05.04.2025 Glasgow Rangers 0:2 Hibernian FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Glasgow Rangers enter this Premiership meeting as the clearly stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the difference should not be overstated. Hibernian FC remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly if they can limit the hosts’ control and exploit space when Glasgow Rangers commit players forward.
The overall signal points towards an open, high-scoring match, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes a straightforward home performance less certain, even with Glasgow Rangers holding the stronger assessment. The most plausible scorelines include 2:1 and 2:0, while 1:1 reflects the possibility that Hibernian FC can withstand pressure and take advantage of their opportunities. Overall, the balance favours Glasgow Rangers, but the expected game profile points to a match requiring concentration from the hosts rather than a comfortable outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Premiership opening weekend results
Both clubs are aiming for their first win of the 2026/27 Premiership campaign. Rangers opened with a 1-1 draw against Dundee United, while Hibernian suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Motherwell.
Rangers Europa League fixture
Ahead of the league clash, Rangers were involved in European action on August 6, losing 2-1 away to Polish side Jagiellonia Bialystok in Europa League qualifying.
Recent head-to-head at Ibrox
Hibernian are undefeated in their last two encounters against Rangers, having secured a 2-1 victory in their most recent visit to Ibrox in May.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.