Celtic Glasgow — Dundee FC: Win probabilities, 03.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.1% |
| 12 | 91.8% | |
| X2 | 14.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.8% / 55.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.6% / 1.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.8% / 12.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.2% / 27.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.1% / 67.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.6% / 82.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 03.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.05.2026 home Hearts 3:1
- 13.05.2026 away Motherwell 3:2
- 10.05.2026 home Rangers 3:1
- 03.05.2026 away Hibernian 2:1
- 25.04.2026 home Falkirk 3:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 home Aberdeen 3:2
- 12.05.2026 away Kilmarnock 1:3
- 09.05.2026 home Livingston 3:0
- 02.05.2026 home St Mirren 1:0
- 26.04.2026 away Dundee United 0:3
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 05.04.2026 Dundee FC 1:2 Celtic Glasgow
- 03.12.2025 Celtic Glasgow 1:0 Dundee FC
- 19.10.2025 Dundee FC 2:0 Celtic Glasgow
- 05.02.2025 Celtic Glasgow 6:0 Dundee FC
- 14.01.2025 Dundee FC 3:3 Celtic Glasgow
- 30.10.2024 Celtic Glasgow 2:0 Dundee FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Celtic Glasgow host Dundee FC in the Premiership on 3 August 2026, with the available assessment pointing to a clear advantage for the home side. Confidence in that view is high, although the match still has to be played and the difference in strength does not remove the possibility of a competitive opening period.
The scoring outlook is positive, with a high-scoring game considered more likely than a tightly controlled encounter. The suggested scorelines of 2:0, 3:0 and 1:0 all favour Celtic Glasgow, indicating that Dundee FC may face a demanding defensive task while Celtic Glasgow are expected to create the stronger attacking threat. Whether both teams score is viewed as finely balanced, so Dundee FC cannot be ruled out from finding the net, even though the overall balance remains firmly with the hosts.
What matters before kick-off
Celtic and Dundee FC Availability News
Celtic defender Liam Scales is unavailable due to a domestic suspension carried over from last season. Jota remains sidelined with a knee injury, while Dundee FC will be without injured duo Imari Samuels and Callum Jones.
Scottish Premiership Season Opener
This fixture marks the opening Scottish Premiership match of the 2026–27 campaign for both Celtic and Dundee FC at Celtic Park.
Celtic Title Defence
Reigning champions Celtic enter the 2026–27 season chasing a sixth consecutive Scottish Premiership title after completing a domestic double last season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.