Celtic Glasgow — Dundee FC: Win probabilities, 03.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.0% |
| 12 | 89.5% | |
| X2 | 18.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.3% / 1.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.5% / 13.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.9% / 30.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.5% / 70.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.7% / 84.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Celtic Glasgow welcome Dundee FC in the Premiership on 3 August 2026, with the hosts carrying a clear advantage according to the available assessment. The overall signal points towards a home win, and the confidence in that reading is high. Celtic Glasgow are rated as clearly stronger than Dundee FC, making territorial control and sustained pressure from the home side the expected shape of the match.
The scoring outlook is also high, although the data does not establish a firm view on whether both teams will find the net. That makes the contest more dependent on Celtic Glasgow’s efficiency than on a definite expectation of a clean sheet. The most likely scorelines are 2-0, 3-0 and 1-0, all of which favour the hosts while reflecting different levels of Dundee FC resistance. Dundee FC will need to limit Celtic Glasgow’s attacking momentum and remain disciplined, but the pre-match balance points decisively towards the home team.
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Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.