Match intelligence

Dundee United — Glasgow Rangers: Win probabilities, 31.07.2026

League: Premiership (Scotland) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Dundee United1
:
1Glasgow Rangers
Locked signal BTTS Probability 61.3% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 17.5% Home win Dundee United
X 22.9% Draw
W2 59.5% Away win Glasgow Rangers
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X281.6%
Both teams to score
Yes55.5%
Totals 2.5
Over56.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X41.9%
1276.5%
X281.6%
Both teams to scoreYes/No55.5% / 44.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.9% / 6.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 80.3% / 19.7%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 56.8% / 43.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 34.4% / 65.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 17.8% / 82.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 8.0% / 92.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Dundee United × Glasgow Rangers
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.1%
0:1 9.2%
0:2 9.8%
0:3 6.3%
0:4 3.1%
0:5 1.2%
1
1:0 4.4%
1:1 11.1%
1:2 9.9%
1:3 6.4%
1:4 3.1%
1:5 1.2%
2
2:0 2.7%
2:1 5.2%
2:2 5.1%
2:3 3.3%
2:4 1.6%
2:5 0.6%
3
3:0 0.9%
3:1 1.8%
3:2 1.7%
3:3 1.1%
3:4 0.5%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 0.2%
4:1 0.4%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.0%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.1%
1:29.9%
0:29.8%
0:19.2%
1:36.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 31.07.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.05.2026 away St Mirren 1:1
  • 12.05.2026 home Livingston 0:0
  • 09.05.2026 away Aberdeen 0:2
  • 02.05.2026 away Kilmarnock 0:3
  • 26.04.2026 home Dundee 3:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.05.2026 away Falkirk 5:2
  • 13.05.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
  • 10.05.2026 away Celtic 1:3
  • 04.05.2026 away Hearts 1:2
  • 26.04.2026 home Motherwell 2:3

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Dundee United wins0
Draws3
Glasgow Rangers wins3
Goals per match4.00
Both teams scored6/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
  • 04.04.2026 Glasgow Rangers 4:2 Dundee United
  • 03.12.2025 Dundee United 2:2 Glasgow Rangers
  • 18.10.2025 Glasgow Rangers 2:2 Dundee United
  • 14.05.2025 Glasgow Rangers 3:1 Dundee United
  • 26.01.2025 Dundee United 1:3 Glasgow Rangers
  • 23.11.2024 Glasgow Rangers 1:1 Dundee United

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Dundee United face Glasgow Rangers in the Premiership on 31 July 2026, with the available assessment pointing to a slight edge for the visitors. The confidence is moderate, so the matchup should be viewed as competitive rather than one-sided. Glasgow Rangers are favoured to have the stronger overall outcome, but Dundee United remain capable of making the game difficult and contributing to the contest.

The scoring outlook is positive, with a high-scoring match projected and both teams likely to find the net. That suggests an open game in which defensive control may be tested at both ends, particularly if the early exchanges produce chances. The leading scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 0:2, reflecting a narrow range between a draw and a controlled Glasgow Rangers victory. Dundee United’s attacking contribution is an important part of the assessment, while Glasgow Rangers hold the clearer edge in the result market.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Match fact

Season Opener at Tannadice

This fixture marks the opening match of the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership season as Dundee United host Rangers at Tannadice Park.

Team news

McInnes Competitive Debut

Derek McInnes takes charge of his first competitive match as Rangers head coach against Jim Goodwin's Dundee United side.

Schedule

Dundee United League Cup Progress

Dundee United finished top of Group B in the Scottish League Cup group stage, winning three of their four matches ahead of the league opener.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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