Dundee United — Glasgow Rangers: Win probabilities, 31.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 36.8% |
| 12 | 79.3% | |
| X2 | 84.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.1% / 13.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.8% / 34.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.9% / 56.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.4% / 74.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.8% / 87.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| X | was 4.20 → now 4.33 |
Match preview
Dundee United face Glasgow Rangers in a Premiership meeting where the visitors hold the clearer overall edge. The assessment points towards Glasgow Rangers being the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests this should not be treated as a one-sided contest. Dundee United may still have opportunities to challenge Rangers, particularly if they can make effective use of their attacking moments.
The match is expected to have an open character, with a high-scoring pattern and both teams likely to find the net. That points to Dundee United contributing to the contest rather than simply defending for long periods, while Glasgow Rangers remain the more convincing choice in the overall outcome assessment. The projected scorelines include a narrow Rangers victory, a draw, and a more comfortable away win, reflecting some uncertainty around the margin even though the balance favours the visitors.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.