St. Johnstone FC — Hibernian FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.7% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 68.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.1% / 20.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.4% / 68.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.6% / 84.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.7% / 93.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
St. Johnstone FC
8th place · 5 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 away Dundee 1:1
- 29.08.2026 away Hearts 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Celtic 0:0
- 08.08.2026 away St Mirren 0:1
- 02.08.2026 home Kilmarnock 4:3
Hibernian FC
7th place · 7 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.09.2026 home Hearts 1:3
- 30.08.2026 away Dundee 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Kilmarnock 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Rangers 2:1
- 02.08.2026 home Motherwell 1:2
This season: St. Johnstone FC at home vs Hibernian FC away
| Metric | St. Johnstone FC · at home | Hibernian FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 2–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.77 | 2.09 |
| xG against per match | 0.79 | 1.42 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 29.03.2025 Hibernian FC 3:0 St. Johnstone FC
- 02.01.2025 St. Johnstone FC 1:1 Hibernian FC
- 14.09.2024 Hibernian FC 2:0 St. Johnstone FC
- 27.04.2024 St. Johnstone FC 1:3 Hibernian FC
- 06.04.2024 Hibernian FC 1:2 St. Johnstone FC
- 16.12.2023 St. Johnstone FC 1:0 Hibernian FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
St. Johnstone FC and Hibernian FC meet in the Premiership on 6 September at 14:00 UTC in a contest that looks evenly matched. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive overall advantage. That suggests a balanced game in which the opening phases may be important, particularly if either team can establish control in midfield and manage the tempo.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring, while both teams are likely to find the net. The main scoreline indications are 1:1, 1:2 and 2:1, reflecting a narrow margin between the possible outcomes rather than a clear prediction. Hibernian FC have a slight edge in the broader result signal, with the draw also a credible possibility, but St. Johnstone FC should remain competitive, especially if they can turn home advantage into sustained pressure.
What matters before kick-off
Hibernian injury update
Defender Jordan Obita is being assessed after suffering an injury against Hearts, while centre-back Rocky Bushiri remains a long-term absentee for Hibernian.
Recent form for both clubs
St. Johnstone return home following three consecutive away games after rescuing a 1-1 draw at Dundee FC with a 90th-minute equaliser, while Hibernian head into the match after a 3-1 defeat to Hearts.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.