St. Johnstone FC — Hibernian FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.7% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 68.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.1% / 20.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.4% / 68.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.6% / 84.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.7% / 93.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
St. Johnstone FC and Hibernian FC meet in the Premiership on 6 September at 14:00 UTC in a contest that looks evenly matched. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive overall advantage. That suggests a balanced game in which the opening phases may be important, particularly if either team can establish control in midfield and manage the tempo.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring, while both teams are likely to find the net. The main scoreline indications are 1:1, 1:2 and 2:1, reflecting a narrow margin between the possible outcomes rather than a clear prediction. Hibernian FC have a slight edge in the broader result signal, with the draw also a credible possibility, but St. Johnstone FC should remain competitive, especially if they can turn home advantage into sustained pressure.
What matters before kick-off
Hibernian injury update
Defender Jordan Obita is being assessed after suffering an injury against Hearts, while centre-back Rocky Bushiri remains a long-term absentee for Hibernian.
Recent form for both clubs
St. Johnstone return home following three consecutive away games after rescuing a 1-1 draw at Dundee FC with a 90th-minute equaliser, while Hibernian head into the match after a 3-1 defeat to Hearts.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.