Glasgow Rangers — Motherwell FC: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.9% |
| 12 | 79.9% | |
| X2 | 34.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.6% / 41.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.7% / 14.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.1% / 34.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.1% / 56.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.7% / 75.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.4% / 87.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Glasgow Rangers
5th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 away Falkirk 2:1
- 30.08.2026 away Aberdeen 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home St Mirren 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
- 31.07.2026 away Dundee United 1:1
Motherwell FC
4th place · 9 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 home Dundee United 3:0
- 30.08.2026 away St Mirren 3:3
- 22.08.2026 home Aberdeen 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Falkirk 0:0
- 02.08.2026 away Hibernian 2:1
This season: Glasgow Rangers at home vs Motherwell FC away
| Metric | Glasgow Rangers · at home | Motherwell FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.05 | 2.06 |
| xG against per match | 1.75 | 2.12 |
| Shots on target per match | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 26.04.2026 Glasgow Rangers 2:3 Motherwell FC
- 11.02.2026 Motherwell FC 1:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 27.12.2025 Glasgow Rangers 1:0 Motherwell FC
- 02.08.2025 Motherwell FC 1:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 01.03.2025 Glasgow Rangers 1:2 Motherwell FC
- 29.12.2024 Motherwell FC 2:2 Glasgow Rangers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Glasgow Rangers go into this Premiership meeting with a clear overall advantage over Motherwell FC, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the gap should not be overstated. The available assessment points towards a high-scoring match, with Glasgow Rangers expected to create the stronger attacking platform while Motherwell FC still have a realistic chance of contributing to the scoreline.
The central question is whether Motherwell FC can stay competitive when Glasgow Rangers apply pressure in the decisive areas. Both teams are considered likely to score, which adds an element of caution to the home-strength signal and makes a controlled, one-sided contest less likely. The most plausible scorelines are 2:1 and 2:0, while 1:1 also reflects the possibility that Motherwell FC can frustrate the hosts and take advantage of their opportunities. Overall, Glasgow Rangers hold the stronger position, but the match profile points to an open contest rather than a straightforward outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Rangers midweek victory
Rangers enter this match following a 2-1 midweek victory over Falkirk in the Premiership, secured by a Lawrence Shankland double.
Motherwell shutout win
Motherwell come into the game on the back of a 3-0 home win over Dundee United in midweek.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.