Dundee United — Falkirk FC: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.5% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.6% / 18.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.8% / 64.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.9% / 81.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.6% / 91.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Dundee United
9th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 away Motherwell 0:3
- 29.08.2026 away Kilmarnock 4:0
- 22.08.2026 home Dundee 0:2
- 09.08.2026 away Hearts 0:4
- 31.07.2026 home Rangers 1:1
Falkirk FC
11th place · 2 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 home Rangers 1:2
- 29.08.2026 away Celtic 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Hearts 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Motherwell 0:0
- 01.08.2026 home St Mirren 0:2
This season: Dundee United at home vs Falkirk FC away
| Metric | Dundee United · at home | Falkirk FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.44 | 0.49 |
| xG against per match | 1.57 | 1.89 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.50 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 14.02.2026 Falkirk FC 2:3 Dundee United
- 22.11.2025 Dundee United 0:3 Falkirk FC
- 03.08.2025 Falkirk FC 2:2 Dundee United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Dundee United welcome Falkirk FC in the Premiership with the hosts holding a slight edge in the pre-match assessment. The confidence in that reading is high, although the margin between the teams is not presented as decisive. Dundee United should therefore be viewed as the more likely side to avoid defeat, while Falkirk FC remain capable of making the contest competitive.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That points towards an open enough game without suggesting an extreme goal total, and the draw remains a realistic part of the outcome picture. The main scoreline possibilities indicate a closely balanced contest, with a level result alongside narrow Dundee United victories. Overall, the analytical signal favours Dundee United or a draw, while Falkirk FC have a credible route to taking something from the match.
What matters before kick-off
Recent Scottish Premiership results
Both teams enter the match following league defeats on September 2, 2026, with Dundee United losing 3-0 at Motherwell and Falkirk falling 2-1 at home to Rangers.
Falkirk matchday guide for Tannadice visit
Falkirk travel to face Dundee United at Tannadice Park in Scottish Premiership action scheduled for September 5, 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.