Dundee United — Falkirk FC: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.5% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.6% / 18.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.8% / 64.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.9% / 81.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.6% / 91.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Dundee United welcome Falkirk FC in the Premiership with the hosts holding a slight edge in the pre-match assessment. The confidence in that reading is high, although the margin between the teams is not presented as decisive. Dundee United should therefore be viewed as the more likely side to avoid defeat, while Falkirk FC remain capable of making the contest competitive.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That points towards an open enough game without suggesting an extreme goal total, and the draw remains a realistic part of the outcome picture. The main scoreline possibilities indicate a closely balanced contest, with a level result alongside narrow Dundee United victories. Overall, the analytical signal favours Dundee United or a draw, while Falkirk FC have a credible route to taking something from the match.
What matters before kick-off
Recent Scottish Premiership results
Both teams enter the match following league defeats on September 2, 2026, with Dundee United losing 3-0 at Motherwell and Falkirk falling 2-1 at home to Rangers.
Falkirk matchday guide for Tannadice visit
Falkirk travel to face Dundee United at Tannadice Park in Scottish Premiership action scheduled for September 5, 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.