St. Johnstone FC — Celtic Glasgow: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 32.7% |
| 12 | 82.0% | |
| X2 | 85.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.1% / 15.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.2% / 57.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.0% / 76.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.09.2026
St. Johnstone FC
6th place · 8 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Hibernian 2:1
- 02.09.2026 away Dundee 1:1
- 29.08.2026 away Hearts 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Celtic 0:0
- 08.08.2026 away St Mirren 0:1
Celtic Glasgow
1st place · 16 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away St Mirren 2:1
- 02.09.2026 home Aberdeen 3:0
- 29.08.2026 home Falkirk 2:1
- 22.08.2026 away St Johnstone 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Kilmarnock 5:1
This season: St. Johnstone FC at home vs Celtic Glasgow away
| Metric | St. Johnstone FC · at home | Celtic Glasgow · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 2–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| xG for per match | 2.13 | 4.29 |
| xG against per match | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 12.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 8.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.08.2026 St. Johnstone FC 0:0 Celtic Glasgow
- 06.04.2025 St. Johnstone FC 1:0 Celtic Glasgow
- 29.12.2024 Celtic Glasgow 4:0 St. Johnstone FC
- 28.09.2024 St. Johnstone FC 0:6 Celtic Glasgow
- 16.03.2024 Celtic Glasgow 3:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 03.12.2023 St. Johnstone FC 1:3 Celtic Glasgow
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
St. Johnstone FC host Celtic Glasgow in the Premiership with the available indicators pointing to Celtic Glasgow as the clearly stronger side, although the confidence in that assessment is moderate. The overall scoring outlook is high-scoring, suggesting an open contest rather than a match expected to remain tightly controlled for long periods. Celtic Glasgow’s attacking strength gives the visitors the main edge, while St. Johnstone FC will need to stay compact and make efficient use of their opportunities.
The assessment also treats both teams scoring as finely balanced, so there is no clear signal that either side will definitely find the net. The most plausible scoreline range includes a narrow Celtic Glasgow victory, a more controlled away win, or a level result, with 1:2, 0:2 and 1:1 identified as the leading possibilities. Overall, the match points toward Celtic Glasgow having the stronger claim, but the moderate confidence and balanced view on both teams scoring leave room for a competitive game.
What matters before kick-off
Celtic's Perfect League Start
Celtic enter the match against St. Johnstone having won all five of their opening Scottish Premiership fixtures this season.
St. Johnstone's Home Form
St. Johnstone have won both of their opening Scottish Premiership home games at McDiarmid Park this season, defeating Kilmarnock and Hibernian.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.