Glasgow Rangers — St Mirren FC: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.7% |
| 12 | 85.8% | |
| X2 | 21.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.4% / 50.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.4% / 13.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.8% / 73.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.7% / 86.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.09.2026
Glasgow Rangers
4th place · 11 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Motherwell 1:0
- 02.09.2026 away Falkirk 2:1
- 30.08.2026 away Aberdeen 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home St Mirren 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
St Mirren FC
3rd place · 11 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Celtic 1:2
- 02.09.2026 away Kilmarnock 1:0
- 30.08.2026 home Motherwell 3:3
- 22.08.2026 away Rangers 0:0
- 08.08.2026 home St Johnstone 1:0
This season: Glasgow Rangers at home vs St Mirren FC away
| Metric | Glasgow Rangers · at home | St Mirren FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–1 | 2–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.99 | 1.37 |
| xG against per match | 1.13 | 0.57 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.50 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.08.2026 Glasgow Rangers 0:0 St Mirren FC
- 15.03.2026 St Mirren FC 0:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 30.12.2025 Glasgow Rangers 2:1 St Mirren FC
- 24.08.2025 St Mirren FC 1:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 26.04.2025 St Mirren FC 2:2 Glasgow Rangers
- 22.02.2025 Glasgow Rangers 0:2 St Mirren FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Glasgow Rangers go into this Premiership meeting with a clear advantage over St Mirren FC. The available assessment points strongly towards the home side, while the expected character of the match is relatively open and high-scoring. That combination suggests Glasgow Rangers should be able to impose sustained pressure, especially through their attacking play, although St Mirren FC may still have opportunities if the game becomes stretched.
The most plausible scorelines are 2-0, 2-1 and 3-0, which reflect a home win with varying levels of resistance from St Mirren FC. The outlook for both teams scoring is less decisive, so it would be unwise to treat a St Mirren FC goal as either essential or unlikely. Overall, Glasgow Rangers are clearly stronger on the available evidence, but the open scoring profile leaves room for different match patterns before the final result is settled.
What matters before kick-off
Rangers captain sidelined
Rangers captain Lawrence Shankland has been sidelined with a hamstring injury that could keep him out for up to four months.
Level on points in league standings
Both clubs enter the fixture level on 10 points after five Scottish Premiership matches, with St Mirren sitting third on goal difference and Rangers right behind in fourth.
Recent cup meeting outcome
The two sides met in the last 16 of the Premier Sports Cup in August 2026, when Rangers defeated St Mirren 5-1 at Ibrox.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.