SSC Napoli — Como 1907: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.6% |
| 12 | 68.6% | |
| X2 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.8% / 27.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.9% / 55.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.6% / 76.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.5% / 89.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.0% / 96.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
SSC Napoli
7th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Genoa 2:0
- 24.05.2026 home Udinese 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Pisa 3:0
- 11.05.2026 home Bologna 2:3
- 02.05.2026 away Como 0:0
Como 1907
13th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Udinese 1:1
- 24.05.2026 away Cremonese 4:1
- 17.05.2026 home Parma 1:0
- 10.05.2026 away Verona 1:0
- 02.05.2026 home Napoli 0:0
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 02.05.2026 Como 1907 0:0 SSC Napoli
- 01.11.2025 SSC Napoli 0:0 Como 1907
- 23.02.2025 Como 1907 2:1 SSC Napoli
- 04.10.2024 SSC Napoli 3:1 Como 1907
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SSC Napoli and Como 1907 appear evenly matched ahead of their Serie A meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be shaped by small tactical details, game management and the ability to convert limited opportunities rather than by a clear difference in overall strength.
The expected scoring profile is medium, while both teams scoring is described as a coin flip. A draw is therefore a credible possibility, although SSC Napoli have a slight positional edge in the available market signal, which favours the hosts avoiding defeat. The most plausible scorelines indicate a match that could remain tight, with a balanced draw, a goalless outcome or a narrow SSC Napoli win all consistent with the assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Matchday one Serie A results
Napoli opened their Serie A campaign with a 2-0 away victory against Genoa, while Como played out a 1-1 draw away at Udinese.
Squad availability ahead of the match
Napoli are dealing with injuries to defenders Alessandro Buongiorno and Pasquale Mazzocchi, while Como remain without Jayden Addai.
Head-to-head history from last season
Both Serie A encounters between Napoli and Como during the previous league campaign ended in 0-0 draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.