Sassuolo Calcio — Torino FC: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.5% |
| 12 | 71.1% | |
| X2 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.0% / 24.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.7% / 72.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.4% / 94.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Sassuolo Calcio have a slight edge over Torino FC in this Serie A meeting, although the moderate confidence suggests a closely contested match rather than a one-sided contest. The overall outlook points toward a medium-scoring game, with the home side offering the stronger result signal while a draw remains a realistic possibility.
Both teams scoring is viewed as evenly balanced, so the match could develop in several directions depending on which side makes better use of its opportunities. Sassuolo Calcio may have a little more initiative, particularly with home advantage, but Torino FC should remain competitive and capable of keeping the contest level. The most plausible scorelines indicate a narrow home win or a draw, with a low-margin result more likely than a decisive victory.
What matters before kick-off
Both sides seeking first points
Both teams enter Round 2 of the 2026/27 Serie A season seeking their first points after opening-day defeats, as Sassuolo lost 2-1 to Atalanta while Torino fell 2-1 against AC Milan.
Recent H2H record
Torino won both Serie A head-to-head encounters against Sassuolo during the 2025/26 season, securing a 1-0 away victory and a 2-1 win at home.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.