AC Monza — Udinese Calcio: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 60.6% |
| 12 | 69.2% | |
| X2 | 70.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.4% / 28.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.7% / 56.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.6% / 77.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.9% / 90.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.7% / 96.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
AC Monza
18th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Inter 1:4
- 08.05.2026 home Empoli 2:2
- 01.05.2026 away Mantova 2:3
- 24.04.2026 home Modena 1:0
- 17.04.2026 away Sampdoria 3:0
Udinese Calcio
10th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Como 1:1
- 24.05.2026 away Napoli 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Cremonese 0:1
- 09.05.2026 away Cagliari 2:0
- 02.05.2026 home Torino 2:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 11.05.2025 Udinese Calcio 1:2 AC Monza
- 09.12.2024 AC Monza 1:2 Udinese Calcio
- 03.02.2024 Udinese Calcio 0:0 AC Monza
- 29.10.2023 AC Monza 1:1 Udinese Calcio
- 08.04.2023 Udinese Calcio 2:2 AC Monza
- 26.08.2022 AC Monza 1:2 Udinese Calcio
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
AC Monza and Udinese Calcio meet in a Serie A fixture that looks evenly matched, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The available assessment points towards a moderate level of confidence, so the match should be approached as a contest with several plausible outcomes rather than one with a decisive prediction. The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a game that may produce a limited but meaningful number of chances.
Both teams scoring is considered finely balanced, leaving room for either a shared contribution on the scoresheet or a match in which one side fails to convert. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:0 and 0:1, reflecting the narrow gap between the teams and the possibility of a controlled encounter. Udinese Calcio have a slight edge in the wider outcome signal, but the draw remains a prominent possibility, particularly if AC Monza can keep the game compact and avoid allowing early momentum to shift.
What matters before kick-off
AC Monza defeat to Inter Milan
AC Monza started their Serie A campaign with a 4-1 away defeat against Inter Milan at San Siro, despite Gustavo Varela scoring a first-half equalizer.
Udinese Calcio draw against Como
Udinese Calcio opened their Serie A season with a 1-1 home draw against Como 1907, with Hassane Kamara putting Udinese ahead in the first half.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
