Juventus Turin — Parma Calcio: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.3% |
| 12 | 87.0% | |
| X2 | 19.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.0% / 63.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.3% / 20.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.9% / 65.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.2% / 81.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Juventus Turin
8th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Frosinone 1:0
- 24.05.2026 away Torino 2:2
- 17.05.2026 home Fiorentina 0:2
- 09.05.2026 away Lecce 1:0
- 03.05.2026 home Verona 1:1
Parma Calcio
14th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Cagliari 0:1
- 24.05.2026 home Sassuolo 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Como 0:1
- 10.05.2026 home Roma 2:3
- 03.05.2026 away Inter 0:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.02.2026 Parma Calcio 1:4 Juventus Turin
- 24.08.2025 Juventus Turin 2:0 Parma Calcio
- 23.04.2025 Parma Calcio 1:0 Juventus Turin
- 30.10.2024 Juventus Turin 2:2 Parma Calcio
- 21.04.2021 Juventus Turin 3:1 Parma Calcio
- 19.12.2020 Parma Calcio 0:4 Juventus Turin
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Juventus Turin go into this Serie A meeting with a clear advantage over Parma Calcio. The available assessment places the hosts as clearly stronger, while the expected profile is medium-scoring rather than an open contest. Juventus Turin should therefore be able to control much of the match, particularly if they establish an early territorial edge and limit Parma Calcio’s opportunities to counter.
Parma Calcio face a demanding defensive task, as the forecast points towards a clean sheet for the hosts. The most plausible scorelines are 2–0, 1–0 and 3–0, all of which reflect Juventus Turin’s superior position without suggesting an excessively high-scoring game. Parma Calcio will need to remain compact and make efficient use of limited attacking situations, while Juventus Turin can focus on patient possession and avoiding unnecessary risks. Overall, the outlook favours a controlled home performance and a result shaped more by Juventus Turin’s authority than by sustained end-to-end action.
What matters before kick-off
Juventus team news
Juventus forward Kenan Yildiz remains sidelined with a foot injury, while midfielder Weston McKennie is also unavailable for the Parma fixture.
Opening round results
Juventus opened their Serie A campaign with a 1-0 win against Frosinone, whereas Parma suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Cagliari.
Head-to-head milestone statistics
Juventus have won 28 Serie A matches against Parma, with only Roma and Milan recording more top-flight victories against the Gialloblu.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
