Sparta Rotterdam — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 42.4% |
| 12 | 78.2% | |
| X2 | 79.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.6% / 37.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.3% / 14.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.0% / 35.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.0% / 57.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.6% / 75.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.3% / 87.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Sparta Rotterdam host Feyenoord Rotterdam in an Eredivisie fixture scheduled for 9 August 2026. The assessment gives Feyenoord a slight edge, although the moderate confidence indicates that the matchup is not expected to be one-sided. Sparta Rotterdam should remain competitive, particularly in a game where the margin between the sides may depend on how effectively each team handles attacking transitions and defensive pressure.
The scoring outlook points towards an open contest, with both teams likely to find the net. The main market signal is therefore both teams to score, while the projected scorelines include 1-1, 1-2 and 0-2. These possibilities reflect a match in which Feyenoord Rotterdam have the stronger overall position, but Sparta Rotterdam still have a realistic route to contributing on the scoresheet. The balance of the forecast favours the visitors without removing the possibility of a closely contested draw.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.