Sparta Rotterdam — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.0% |
| 12 | 79.0% | |
| X2 | 81.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.4% / 38.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.0% / 4.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.1% / 14.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.8% / 35.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.8% / 57.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.5% / 75.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 home Excelsior 2:3
- 10.05.2026 away Twente 0:4
- 03.05.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
- 22.04.2026 away Telstar 1:4
- 11.04.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away Zwolle 2:0
- 10.05.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 1:1
- 03.05.2026 away For Sittard 2:1
- 25.04.2026 home Groningen 3:1
- 12.04.2026 away Nijmegen 1:1
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 18.01.2026 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:4 Sparta Rotterdam
- 31.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam 0:4 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 08.02.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:0 Sparta Rotterdam
- 25.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 11.02.2024 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2:0 Sparta Rotterdam
- 20.08.2023 Sparta Rotterdam 2:2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sparta Rotterdam host Feyenoord Rotterdam in an Eredivisie meeting on 9 August 2026. The assessment gives Feyenoord Rotterdam a slight edge, although the moderate confidence suggests that the gap between the teams should not be overstated. Sparta Rotterdam remain a credible threat, particularly in a match expected to offer opportunities at both ends of the pitch.
The scoring outlook points towards an open contest, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes the balance of defensive discipline and efficiency in the final third especially important. A draw remains a realistic possibility, while Feyenoord Rotterdam have the stronger overall position if they can impose their attacking quality and manage the transitions effectively.
The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 0:2. Taken together, they indicate a match where Feyenoord Rotterdam may have enough to edge the result, but where Sparta Rotterdam are capable of keeping the contest competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Rotterdam derby on opening day
Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord kick off their 2026-27 Eredivisie season with a Rotterdam derby at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
New managers for both sides
Both Rotterdam clubs enter the opening match of the season with new head coaches: Rogier Meijer at Sparta Rotterdam and Giovanni van Bronckhorst at Feyenoord.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.