SC Heerenveen — FC Twente Enschede: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.9% |
| 12 | 75.0% | |
| X2 | 69.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.4% / 4.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.3% / 12.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.6% / 86.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 home Ajax 0:0
- 10.05.2026 away NAC Breda 0:2
- 03.05.2026 away Volendam 2:0
- 25.04.2026 home For Sittard 2:1
- 12.04.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:5
- 10.05.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
- 03.05.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 2:2
- 25.04.2026 home Nijmegen 1:1
- 10.04.2026 home Volendam 2:1
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 07.02.2026 FC Twente Enschede 5:0 SC Heerenveen
- 24.08.2025 SC Heerenveen 1:2 FC Twente Enschede
- 09.02.2025 SC Heerenveen 3:3 FC Twente Enschede
- 17.09.2024 FC Twente Enschede 2:0 SC Heerenveen
- 03.04.2024 SC Heerenveen 3:3 FC Twente Enschede
- 30.09.2023 FC Twente Enschede 1:0 SC Heerenveen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Heerenveen face FC Twente Enschede in an Eredivisie meeting that points towards an open and competitive contest. The available indicators suggest a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to find the net. That combination should create a game where neither side can rely solely on defensive control, and periods of pressure may alternate throughout the afternoon.
FC Twente Enschede hold a slight edge, although the moderate confidence level reflects a match with several plausible outcomes rather than a clear gap between the teams. The draw is also a realistic possibility, while SC Heerenveen have enough attacking potential in this assessment to remain firmly involved. The most consistent reading is therefore a result that keeps FC Twente Enschede unbeaten, with 1:1 and 1:2 among the plausible scorelines, alongside 2:1 as a credible home alternative.
What matters before kick-off
Eredivisie 2026/2027 Season Opener
The match between SC Heerenveen and FC Twente at the Abe Lenstra Stadion marks the start of the 2026/2027 Eredivisie campaign for both clubs.
FC Twente's Recent European Result
FC Twente headed into their league opener following a 6-0 victory over DAC 1904 in the UEFA Conference League on 6 August.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.