Go Ahead Eagles — Willem II Tilburg: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.1% |
| 12 | 79.8% | |
| X2 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.7% / 41.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.3% / 14.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.6% / 57.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.3% / 75.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away Nijmegen 1:2
- 10.05.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 1:4
- 03.05.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 2:2
- 23.04.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 0:0
- 11.04.2026 away Groningen 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.05.2025 away NAC Breda 1:1
- 14.05.2025 home Zwolle 1:2
- 09.05.2025 home Heracles 1:2
- 03.05.2025 away Nijmegen 1:1
- 27.04.2025 away For Sittard 0:1
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 16.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles 1:0 Willem II Tilburg
- 18.08.2024 Willem II Tilburg 2:0 Go Ahead Eagles
- 08.04.2022 Go Ahead Eagles 4:0 Willem II Tilburg
- 27.11.2021 Willem II Tilburg 0:1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Go Ahead Eagles enter this Eredivisie meeting with a clear overall advantage over Willem II Tilburg, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the assessment should be treated with some caution. The hosts are viewed as the stronger side, while the range of likely outcomes includes both a narrow home win and a more controlled victory. A draw also remains part of the expected scenario, so the match does not appear entirely one-sided.
The scoring outlook points towards an open contest, with a high-scoring pattern considered more likely than a tightly managed game. Both Go Ahead Eagles and Willem II Tilburg are expected to have a realistic chance of finding the net, which could produce a competitive second half if the game remains close. The central prediction leans towards a home victory, but the likely scorelines indicate that the margin may be limited rather than decisive.
What matters before kick-off
Managerial change at Go Ahead Eagles
Joseph Oosting took over as head coach at Go Ahead Eagles ahead of the 2026/27 season, replacing Melvin Boel.
Team availability news
Ahead of the match against Willem II, Go Ahead Eagles players Julius Dirksen and Søren Tengstedt were back training with the squad, while Gerrit Nauber and Robin Weijenberg trained separately.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.