PSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 95.3% |
| 12 | 89.4% | |
| X2 | 15.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.0% / 2.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 79.6% / 20.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 61.4% / 38.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 42.0% / 58.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 25.5% / 74.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 home Twente 5:1
- 10.05.2026 away Go Ahead Eagles 4:1
- 02.05.2026 away Ajax 2:2
- 23.04.2026 home Zwolle 6:1
- 11.04.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away Utrecht 0:2
- 10.05.2026 home Zwolle 3:2
- 03.05.2026 home Feyenoord 1:2
- 25.04.2026 away Heerenveen 1:2
- 12.04.2026 home NAC Breda 1:1
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.01.2026 Fortuna Sittard 1:2 PSV Eindhoven
- 31.10.2025 PSV Eindhoven 5:2 Fortuna Sittard
- 03.05.2025 PSV Eindhoven 4:1 Fortuna Sittard
- 22.09.2024 Fortuna Sittard 1:3 PSV Eindhoven
- 12.05.2024 Fortuna Sittard 1:1 PSV Eindhoven
- 21.10.2023 PSV Eindhoven 3:1 Fortuna Sittard
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
PSV Eindhoven meet Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie on 8 August 2026, with the available assessment pointing clearly toward the hosts. PSV Eindhoven are rated as clearly stronger, and the high confidence in that view reflects a substantial difference in the expected balance of the match. The scoring outlook also suggests an open contest, with several likely scorelines favouring PSV Eindhoven by a comfortable margin.
The main scenarios are 3:0, 2:0 and 4:0, all of which place PSV Eindhoven in control while limiting Fortuna Sittard’s attacking impact. At the same time, the assessment does not make both teams scoring a defined expectation; that aspect is described as evenly balanced. This leaves the central question less about the overall direction and more about whether Fortuna Sittard can contribute to a high-scoring game. PSV Eindhoven should therefore be expected to take the initiative, with Fortuna Sittard facing the task of staying compact and resisting sustained pressure.
What matters before kick-off
Start of the 2026-27 Eredivisie season
PSV Eindhoven host Fortuna Sittard at the Philips Stadion on the opening matchday of the 2026-27 Eredivisie season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.