NEC Nijmegen — SC Telstar: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.1% |
| 12 | 79.8% | |
| X2 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.1% / 36.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.4% / 11.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.4% / 30.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.1% / 51.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.0% / 71.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.3% / 84.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:1
- 10.05.2026 away Groningen 1:2
- 02.05.2026 home Telstar 1:1
- 25.04.2026 away Twente 1:1
- 12.04.2026 home Feyenoord 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away Volendam 2:1
- 10.05.2026 home Heracles 3:0
- 02.05.2026 away Nijmegen 1:1
- 22.04.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 4:1
- 11.04.2026 away Utrecht 1:4
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 02.05.2026 NEC Nijmegen 1:1 SC Telstar
- 13.12.2025 SC Telstar 2:2 NEC Nijmegen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
NEC Nijmegen enter this Eredivisie fixture with a clear qualitative advantage over SC Telstar, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the contest should not be viewed as straightforward. The available assessment points towards the hosts controlling more of the match and creating the stronger attacking threat, but SC Telstar retain enough potential to make the game competitive.
The scoring outlook is positive, with a high-scoring match considered likely and both teams expected to find the net. That combination points to an open encounter rather than a tightly contained one, particularly if SC Telstar can respond effectively when NEC Nijmegen move forward. The most plausible scorelines are 2:1, 1:1 and 2:0, reflecting a home win as the leading scenario while leaving room for a draw if the visitors make better use of their opportunities. Overall, NEC Nijmegen hold the stronger position, but the moderate confidence and expected attacking contribution from SC Telstar advise against treating the outcome as settled.
What matters before kick-off
Defensive injury concerns for NEC
Ahead of the season opener, NEC Nijmegen face defensive shortages as defenders Bram Nuytinck, Perr Schuurs, and Yassin Moslih are sidelined with injuries.
Tight schedule for NEC
Just four days prior to facing Telstar, NEC Nijmegen played a 0-0 draw away against Olympiacos in a Champions League qualifier.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
