SC Cambuur — Excelsior Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 07.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.9% |
| 12 | 75.0% | |
| X2 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.2% / 35.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.7% / 38.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.5% / 60.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.7% / 78.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.4% / 89.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SC Cambuur and Excelsior Rotterdam look evenly matched ahead of their Eredivisie meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, pointing instead to a contest where small differences in execution could shape the outcome. That balance makes the tactical approach important, particularly in how each team manages transitions and responds when the match becomes more open.
The scoring outlook is positive, with both teams likely to find the net. This suggests an engaging game rather than one dominated by caution, although the moderate confidence level means the overall picture remains competitive rather than decisive. A draw is a credible possibility, but either side could also take the points if it makes better use of its attacking opportunities. The main analytical signal is therefore a high-scoring match with goals expected from both SC Cambuur and Excelsior Rotterdam.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.