SC Cambuur — Excelsior Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 07.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.6% |
| 12 | 72.2% | |
| X2 | 63.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.4% / 69.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.9% / 85.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.05.2023 home Waalwijk 4:0
- 21.05.2023 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:4
- 14.05.2023 away Vitesse 0:2
- 06.05.2023 home Utrecht 0:3
- 21.04.2023 away Volendam 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 3:2
- 10.05.2026 home Volendam 1:1
- 02.05.2026 away Groningen 3:2
- 26.04.2026 home Utrecht 5:0
- 12.04.2026 away Zwolle 2:2
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 19.03.2023 Excelsior Rotterdam 4:1 SC Cambuur
- 06.08.2022 SC Cambuur 0:2 Excelsior Rotterdam
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Cambuur and Excelsior Rotterdam appear evenly matched ahead of their Eredivisie meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence rather than a strong separation between the teams, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The market signal gives a cautious lean toward SC Cambuur or a draw, but the balance of the matchup remains close.
A medium-scoring game is expected, with the most plausible scorelines including 1:1, 2:1 and 1:2. That range reflects the competitive nature of the fixture and leaves room for either team to edge the contest if it converts its opportunities more effectively. Both teams scoring is considered an uncertain possibility rather than a defined pattern, so the match may depend on how open it becomes after the first goal. Overall, this looks like a fixture where a draw is a credible outcome, while a narrow win for either SC Cambuur or Excelsior Rotterdam also fits the available indicators.
What matters before kick-off
2026/27 Eredivisie Season Opener
SC Cambuur host Excelsior Rotterdam on August 7, 2026, in the opening fixture of the new Dutch Eredivisie season.
Sellout at Kooi Stadion
SC Cambuur announced that all home spectator sections at Kooi Stadion are sold out for their season opener against Excelsior Rotterdam.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.