SK Slovan Bratislava — VfB Stuttgart: Win probabilities, 14.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
10.0%
Home win
SK Slovan Bratislava
X
14.6%
Draw
W2
75.4%
Away win
VfB Stuttgart
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X290.0%
Both teams to score
Yes59.4%
Totals 2.5
Over73.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 24.6% |
| 12 | 85.4% | |
| X2 | 90.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.4% / 40.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.6% / 2.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.8% / 10.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 33.9% / 66.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 19.0% / 81.0% |
Goal distribution model
SK Slovan Bratislava × VfB Stuttgart
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.4%
0:1
5.9%
0:2
8.8%
0:3
8.3%
0:4
5.9%
0:5
3.4%
1
1:0
1.9%
1:1
6.3%
1:2
8.7%
1:3
8.2%
1:4
5.8%
1:5
3.3%
2
2:0
1.1%
2:1
3.0%
2:2
4.3%
2:3
4.1%
2:4
2.9%
2:5
1.6%
3
3:0
0.3%
3:1
1.0%
3:2
1.4%
3:3
1.3%
3:4
1.0%
3:5
0.5%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.2%
4:2
0.3%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.0%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:28.8%
1:28.7%
0:38.3%
1:38.2%
1:16.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.10.2026
SK Slovan Bratislava
Last 4 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 away Paris Saint-Germain 1:6
- 11.08.2026 home Mjallby AIF 2:0
- 04.08.2026 away Mjallby AIF 2:1
- 29.07.2026 home FC Iberia 1999 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Dortmund 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Hoffenheim 1:2
- 04.09.2026 home FC Koln 4:1
- 28.08.2026 away Bayern Munich 1:5
- 16.05.2026 away Ein Frankfurt 2:2
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
SK Slovan Bratislava wins0
Draws0
VfB Stuttgart wins1
Goals per match4.00
Both teams scored1/1
Over 2.5 goals1/1
- 21.01.2025 Slovan Bratislava 1:3 VfB Stuttgart
Sources: football-data.co.uk, API-Football. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 9.50 → now 8.50 |
| X | was 5.75 → now 6.00 |
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.