Bodoe/Glimt — Borussia Dortmund: Win probabilities, 14.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
28.8%
Home win
Bodoe/Glimt
X
23.1%
Draw
W2
48.1%
Away win
Borussia Dortmund
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.9%
Both teams to score
Yes70.9%
Totals 2.5
Over71.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 51.9% |
| 12 | 76.9% | |
| X2 | 71.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.9% / 29.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.3% / 10.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.2% / 28.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.0% / 69.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
Goal distribution model
Bodoe/Glimt × Borussia Dortmund
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.5%
0:1
4.2%
0:2
5.5%
0:3
3.8%
0:4
2.0%
0:5
0.8%
1
1:0
3.0%
1:1
9.4%
1:2
8.7%
1:3
6.1%
1:4
3.2%
1:5
1.3%
2
2:0
3.2%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
7.0%
2:3
4.9%
2:4
2.5%
2:5
1.1%
3
3:0
1.7%
3:1
3.6%
3:2
3.7%
3:3
2.6%
3:4
1.3%
3:5
0.6%
4
4:0
0.7%
4:1
1.4%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.5%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:19.4%
1:28.7%
2:27.0%
2:16.7%
1:36.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.10.2026
Bodoe/Glimt
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away Bayern Munich 0:5
- 11.08.2026 home Union Saint-Gilloise 3:2
- 04.08.2026 away Union Saint-Gilloise 3:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Stuttgart 1:0
- 12.09.2026 home Paderborn 3:0
- 05.09.2026 away Hoffenheim 3:2
- 29.08.2026 home Hamburg 2:0
- 16.05.2026 away Werder Bremen 2:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.