Match intelligence

SK Slovan Bratislava — Mjallby AIF: Win probabilities, 11.08.2026

League: UEFA Champions League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
SK Slovan Bratislava2
:
0Mjallby AIF
Locked signal 1X Probability 76.5% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 52.9% Home win SK Slovan Bratislava
X 23.5% Draw
W2 23.5% Away win Mjallby AIF
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1275.9%
Both teams to score
Yes56.5%
Totals 2.5
Over55.3%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X75.6%
1275.9%
X248.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No56.5% / 43.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 94.2% / 5.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 78.7% / 21.3%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 55.3% / 44.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 32.9% / 67.1%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 16.7% / 83.3%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 7.4% / 92.6%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SK Slovan Bratislava × Mjallby AIF
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 5.8%
0:1 6.0%
0:2 3.6%
0:3 1.4%
0:4 0.4%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 9.4%
1:1 11.3%
1:2 6.3%
1:3 2.4%
1:4 0.7%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 8.5%
2:1 9.7%
2:2 5.5%
2:3 2.1%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 5.0%
3:1 5.7%
3:2 3.2%
3:3 1.2%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 2.2%
4:1 2.5%
4:2 1.4%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.8%
5:1 0.9%
5:2 0.5%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.3%
2:19.7%
1:09.5%
2:08.5%
1:26.3%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SK Slovan Bratislava have a slight edge over Mjallby AIF in this UEFA Champions League qualification tie. The high confidence points toward the hosts avoiding defeat, although the match is not expected to be one-sided. The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a contest with several meaningful chances rather than a highly open game.

The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced. A draw remains a realistic scenario, while a narrow home victory also fits the assessment. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 1:0, reflecting a match where SK Slovan Bratislava may have the stronger overall position but Mjallby AIF should remain competitive.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

First-leg result

In the first leg of the UEFA Champions League third qualifying round, SK Slovan Bratislava secured a 2-1 away victory against Mjallby AIF in Sweden.

Schedule

Aggregate advantage for Slovan

SK Slovan Bratislava enter the second leg carrying a 2-1 aggregate lead over Mjallby AIF for a place in the UEFA Champions League play-off round.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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