SK Rapid — Paide Linnameeskond: Win probabilities, 12.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.7% |
| 12 | 89.2% | |
| X2 | 16.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.8% / 2.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.2% / 9.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 74.6% / 25.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 35.0% / 65.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 19.8% / 80.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SK Rapid enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie as the clearly stronger side, with the available assessment giving them a high-confidence advantage over Paide Linnameeskond. The outlook points towards a proactive home performance, with SK Rapid expected to create the greater attacking threat and control the match for long periods. Paide Linnameeskond may face sustained pressure, particularly if the hosts establish authority early.
The scoring profile suggests an open game with several opportunities for SK Rapid, while the same assessment also indicates that Paide Linnameeskond may struggle to find the net. That combination makes a convincing home victory the central scenario, with a clean sheet for SK Rapid considered likely. The main question is therefore less about which team holds the edge and more about how effectively the hosts convert their superiority into goals.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
Rapid Wien secured a 4-1 victory over Paide Linnameeskond in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League third qualifying round tie in Tallinn.
Rapid Wien's recent fixture
On August 9, 2026, Rapid Wien earned a 2-1 away victory against SV Ried in the Austrian Bundesliga.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.