FC Copenhagen — Debreceni VSC: Win probabilities, 12.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.8% |
| 12 | 86.3% | |
| X2 | 20.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.2% / 54.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.3% / 3.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.0% / 16.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.9% / 36.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.8% / 58.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.6% / 76.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Copenhagen enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie with a clear advantage over Debreceni VSC. The assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, with high confidence behind that view. This suggests FC Copenhagen should control more of the match and create the better opportunities, while Debreceni VSC may need to remain compact and rely on efficient moments in attack.
The scoring outlook is also positive, with the game expected to have an open, high-scoring character rather than a purely cautious contest. At the same time, whether both teams find the net is difficult to separate, so the match could develop with goals primarily from FC Copenhagen or with Debreceni VSC contributing as well. The most plausible patterns indicate a home win by a controlled margin, although a closer result remains possible if the visitors make the most of their chances.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
In the first leg of the third qualifying round on August 6, 2026, FC Copenhagen secured a 3-0 road victory against Debreceni VSC in Hungary.
FC Copenhagen squad news
FC Copenhagen welcomed back Viktor Dadason from injury and Junnosuke Suzuki from suspension, while Marcos López was ruled out with a minor injury.
Head-to-head history against Hungarian clubs
Prior to this 2026 tie, FC Copenhagen and Debreceni VSC had never met in European competition, with Copenhagen's only previous matchup against Hungarian opposition coming in 2003 against Ferencváros.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.