FC CSKA 1948 — Panathinaikos Athens: Win probabilities, 11.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 42.0% |
| 12 | 74.4% | |
| X2 | 83.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.9% / 8.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.7% / 23.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.8% / 71.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.8% / 86.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.7% / 94.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC CSKA 1948 face Panathinaikos Athens in a UEFA Conference League qualification tie that appears finely balanced, although the visitors hold a slight edge. The low confidence attached to that assessment suggests a match where small details may have a significant influence, rather than a clear superiority from either side. Panathinaikos Athens may have the stronger overall outlook, but FC CSKA 1948 remain well placed to make the contest competitive.
The scoring picture points towards a medium-scoring game, with both teams scoring remaining difficult to call. A draw is a realistic possibility, while a narrow Panathinaikos Athens victory is also consistent with the available indications. FC CSKA 1948 will need to stay compact and make the most of their opportunities, whereas Panathinaikos Athens can be expected to look for controlled attacking phases without assuming the result will come easily. The overall balance favours the visitors only marginally.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
The first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round tie between Panathinaikos and FC CSKA 1948 was played on 5 August 2026 in Athens and ended in a 1-1 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.