Apollon Limassol — SK Brann: Win probabilities, 11.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.3% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.9% / 37.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.8% / 6.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.5% / 17.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.6% / 63.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.5% / 80.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.0% / 91.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Apollon Limassol and SK Brann look evenly matched ahead of their UEFA Conference League qualification meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight positional edge through the 1X signal, but the confidence is moderate rather than decisive. Neither side stands out as clearly stronger, so the match may be shaped by how well each team manages the key phases without losing balance.
A medium-scoring contest is expected, with both teams likely to score. That points towards an open enough game for chances at both ends, while still leaving room for a cautious approach in important moments. The projected outcomes include a draw as well as narrow wins for either Apollon Limassol or SK Brann, reinforcing the view that small details could determine the result. A competitive encounter with goals from both sides appears the most consistent reading of the available data.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
On 5 August 2026, Apollon Limassol secured a 1-0 away victory over SK Brann in the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round. Alen Ožbolt scored the decisive goal in the 22nd minute.
Apollon's clean sheet qualifying record
Heading into the second leg against SK Brann, Apollon Limassol won all three of their 2026/27 Conference League qualifying matches without conceding a goal.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.