SK Rapid — FC Santa Coloma: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 96.6% |
| 12 | 91.6% | |
| X2 | 11.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 41.4% / 58.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.8% / 2.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.7% / 10.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 73.8% / 26.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 34.1% / 65.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 19.1% / 80.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SK Rapid enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence behind the home outcome. FC Santa Coloma face a demanding task away from home, where Rapid’s overall advantage should allow the hosts to control the rhythm and spend extended periods in attacking areas. The available assessment points towards a decisive performance rather than a closely balanced contest.
The expected scoring pattern is relatively open, although FC Santa Coloma may struggle to turn possession or occasional opportunities into a goal. A clean sheet for SK Rapid is considered likely, making a controlled victory the central scenario. Scorelines such as three-nil, two-nil or four-nil reflect the same underlying view: Rapid should create enough chances to establish a clear margin while limiting the visitors’ threat. The match is scheduled for 29 July 2026 at 18:30 UTC.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.