Atletic Club d'Escaldes — FC Vaduz: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 39.9% |
| 12 | 78.4% | |
| X2 | 81.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.4% / 24.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.4% / 70.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.0% / 94.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Atletic Club d'Escaldes face FC Vaduz in the UEFA Conference League qualification. The available assessment gives FC Vaduz a clear overall edge, although the confidence behind that view is moderate rather than decisive. Atletic Club d'Escaldes will need to keep the match controlled and limit the visitors' opportunities, while FC Vaduz are expected to be the more assertive side as they look to impose their quality.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with a balanced possibility that both teams find the net. That leaves room for Atletic Club d'Escaldes to remain competitive if they are efficient in possession and disciplined without the ball. Even so, the stronger signal points towards FC Vaduz, with narrow away success among the most plausible outcomes. A tight match with limited separation is also possible, so the main analytical angle is an advantage for FC Vaduz rather than an expectation of a one-sided contest.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
In the first leg of the second qualifying round on July 23, 2026, FC Vaduz secured a 4-0 home victory against Atlètic Club d'Escaldes.
Second-leg venue
The return leg between Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and FC Vaduz is held on July 30, 2026, at the Estadi Nacional in Andorra la Vella.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.