FC Copenhagen — FC Polissya Zhytomyr: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.1% |
| 12 | 78.4% | |
| X2 | 38.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.8% / 16.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.1% / 77.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.6% / 89.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| X1 | was 1.70 → now 1.55 |
| X | was 3.70 → now 4.00 |
| X2 | was 4.10 → now 5.00 |
Match preview
FC Copenhagen host FC Polissya Zhytomyr in the UEFA Conference League qualification round with a slight edge on the available assessment. The confidence in that lean is low, so the match appears open rather than one-sided. Copenhagen may have the stronger overall position at home, but Polissya Zhytomyr should remain capable of making the contest competitive.
The scoring outlook points towards a medium-scoring game. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, making that aspect of the match essentially balanced. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 2-0 and 2-1, which reflects the uncertainty around whether Copenhagen can turn its narrow advantage into a clear result. A controlled home performance could see FC Copenhagen manage the key moments, while FC Polissya Zhytomyr will look to keep the tie level and exploit any openings.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.