Match intelligence

FC Copenhagen — FC Polissya Zhytomyr: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026

League: UEFA Conference League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
FC Copenhagen2
:
1FC Polissya Zhytomyr
Locked signal W1 Probability 60.3% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 60.3% Home win FC Copenhagen
X 21.2% Draw
W2 18.5% Away win FC Polissya Zhytomyr
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X81.5%
Both teams to score
Yes59.9%
Totals 2.5
Over63.3%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X81.5%
1278.8%
X239.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No59.9% / 40.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.7% / 4.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 84.1% / 15.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 63.3% / 36.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 41.1% / 58.9%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 23.0% / 77.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 11.2% / 88.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

FC Copenhagen × FC Polissya Zhytomyr
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.3%
0:1 3.8%
0:2 2.4%
0:3 0.9%
0:4 0.3%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 7.8%
1:1 9.7%
1:2 5.1%
1:3 1.9%
1:4 0.5%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 8.8%
2:1 9.8%
2:2 5.5%
2:3 2.1%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 6.3%
3:1 7.0%
3:2 3.9%
3:3 1.5%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 3.4%
4:1 3.8%
4:2 2.1%
4:3 0.8%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.4%
5:1 1.6%
5:2 0.9%
5:3 0.3%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
2:19.8%
1:19.7%
2:08.8%
1:07.8%
3:17.0%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

FC Copenhagen host FC Polissya Zhytomyr in the UEFA Conference League qualification round with a slight edge on the available assessment. The confidence in that lean is low, so the match appears open rather than one-sided. Copenhagen may have the stronger overall position at home, but Polissya Zhytomyr should remain capable of making the contest competitive.

The scoring outlook points towards a medium-scoring game. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, making that aspect of the match essentially balanced. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 2-0 and 2-1, which reflects the uncertainty around whether Copenhagen can turn its narrow advantage into a clear result. A controlled home performance could see FC Copenhagen manage the key moments, while FC Polissya Zhytomyr will look to keep the tie level and exploit any openings.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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