SK Brann — Apollon Limassol: Win probabilities, 05.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.6% |
| 12 | 77.8% | |
| X2 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.8% / 42.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.4% / 17.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.3% / 39.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.9% / 62.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.5% / 79.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.6% / 90.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SK Brann have a slight edge over Apollon Limassol in this UEFA Conference League qualifying meeting, although the moderate confidence suggests a contest with meaningful uncertainty. The available signals point towards an open match rather than a tightly controlled one, with enough attacking potential on both sides to create a lively tempo.
The outlook leans towards a high-scoring game, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. SK Brann’s home advantage gives them the clearer side of the assessment, but Apollon Limassol should have opportunities if they can make effective use of the spaces created by an open approach. A narrow home win is one plausible scenario, though a draw also fits the overall profile.
What matters before kick-off
SK Brann's recent European result
Norwegian side SK Brann advanced to the third qualifying round of the UEFA Conference League after defeating Romanian club Universitatea Cluj 5-3 on aggregate.
SK Brann availability update
SK Brann defender Frederik Pallesen Knudsen remains unavailable through injury ahead of the first leg against Apollon Limassol.
Apollon Limassol defensive run
Cypriot side Apollon Limassol reached the third qualifying round of the Conference League having not conceded a single goal during their European campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.