Paide Linnameeskond — SK Rapid: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 18.8% |
| 12 | 86.5% | |
| X2 | 94.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 40.5% / 59.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.4% / 16.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.1% / 77.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.6% / 89.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Paide Linnameeskond face SK Rapid in the UEFA Conference League qualifying round, with the available assessment giving the visitors a clear advantage. The matchup points toward SK Rapid controlling more of the game and creating the more convincing chances, while Paide Linnameeskond may need to remain compact and rely on defensive discipline.
The expected pattern is a moderately productive match rather than an open shootout. SK Rapid are favoured to score more than once, and a clean sheet for the visitors appears more likely than both teams finding the net. Paide Linnameeskond will need to make the most of limited opportunities, particularly if SK Rapid establish control early. The projected scorelines of 0:2, 0:3 and 0:1 all reflect the same broader view: SK Rapid are clearly stronger, with the result likely decided by their ability to convert territorial and attacking superiority.
What matters before kick-off
Qualification path
Paide Linnameeskond reached the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round by defeating Azerbaijan's PFC Zire 2-1 on aggregate. SK Rapid advanced by overcoming Andorra's FC Santa Coloma 9-3 on aggregate.
First Estonian opponent
The match in Tallinn marks SK Rapid's first-ever official European competition fixture against a club from Estonia.
Play-off round draw
The winner of the third qualifying round tie between Paide Linnameeskond and SK Rapid will advance to face the loser of the Europa League qualifier between SL Benfica and Hearts of Midlothian in the Conference League play-offs.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.