RKS Rakow Czestochowa — Hammarby IF: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.4% |
| 12 | 72.8% | |
| X2 | 58.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.7% / 7.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.9% / 23.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.6% / 70.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.1% / 93.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
RKS Rakow Czestochowa host Hammarby IF in the UEFA Conference League, Qualification, with the assessment pointing to a slight advantage for the home side. The confidence level is moderate, so the balance remains relatively close rather than strongly one-sided. The projected scoring profile is medium-scoring, suggesting a match that could develop through a small number of decisive moments.
The possibility of both teams scoring is evenly balanced, making either a controlled home performance or a more open exchange plausible. The main outcome signal is 1X, which favours RKS Rakow Czestochowa avoiding defeat while leaving room for a draw. The most likely scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 1:0, reflecting the narrow gap between the teams and the potential for a competitive qualification tie.
What matters before kick-off
Qualification Context
Rakow Czestochowa reached the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round after securing a 7-1 aggregate victory over Valletta in the previous round. Hammarby dropped into the Conference League following a 4-2 aggregate defeat to Anderlecht in the Europa League second qualifying round.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.