IFK Goteborg — KAA Gent: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.9% |
| 12 | 74.9% | |
| X2 | 69.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.6% / 6.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.4% / 24.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.1% / 70.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.1% / 85.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.9% / 94.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
IFK Goteborg and KAA Gent meet in the UEFA Conference League qualification round with the assessment pointing to an evenly matched contest. The confidence level is moderate, so there is no clear basis for expecting one side to control the match throughout. The market signal gives KAA Gent and the draw a slight combined edge, while the overall outlook remains balanced between the two teams.
The scoring profile is medium-scoring, suggesting a match that could develop through a measured number of chances rather than an open exchange from the start. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, with that outcome effectively a coin flip. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:1 and 1:2, which reflect a narrow contest where a draw or a KAA Gent victory appears more consistent with the available indicators than a decisive home win.
What matters before kick-off
IFK Goteborg squad for Gent match
IFK Goteborg announced their matchday squad for the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round against KAA Gent. The selection includes goalkeepers Jonathan Rasheed, Viktor Andersson, and Elis Bishesari, alongside midfielder Sam Larsson.
KAA Gent's route to the third qualifying round
KAA Gent reached the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round by overcoming Ukrainian side LNZ Cherkasy. Following two 0-0 draws, the Belgian club won 4-2 in a penalty shoot-out.
Head coach change at IFK Goteborg
Joachim Bjorklund was appointed head coach of IFK Goteborg in late July 2026 following the departure of Stefan Billborn. The former Swedish international had previously been serving as an assistant coach at the club.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.