FC Inter Turku — FC Vaduz: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.7% |
| 12 | 76.0% | |
| X2 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.4% / 42.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.0% / 21.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.8% / 44.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.5% / 66.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.1% / 82.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.6% / 92.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Inter Turku enter this UEFA Conference League qualification tie with a slight home advantage over FC Vaduz. The assessment points to the hosts as the marginally stronger side, although the gap is not wide enough to suggest a one-sided contest. Home advantage may prove important in a match where control and efficiency in key moments are likely to matter.
The game is expected to fall into a medium-scoring range, with several plausible paths. A level score remains a realistic possibility, while a narrow FC Inter Turku victory also fits the overall outlook. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the match could develop either into a tight encounter or one with chances at both ends. Overall, FC Inter Turku have the clearer edge, but FC Vaduz remain capable of keeping the tie balanced.
What matters before kick-off
Inter Turku reached the third qualifying round
Finnish side Inter Turku advanced to the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round by overcoming Istanbul Basaksehir in the second round, driven by goals from Clinton Jephta.
FC Vaduz qualified after defeating Escaldes
FC Vaduz secured their spot in the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round after establishing a firm advantage over Escaldes in the previous round.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.