FC CFR 1907 Cluj — Tromsoe IL: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.4% |
| 12 | 73.5% | |
| X2 | 68.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.5% / 7.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.7% / 73.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.4% / 87.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC CFR 1907 Cluj face Tromsoe IL in a UEFA Conference League qualification tie that looks competitive, with a moderate assessment pointing to a slight edge for the visitors. The available signals favour Tromsoe IL in the broader result market, while also indicating that the home side remain well placed to keep the contest close. This suggests a match where control may shift between the teams rather than a clearly one-sided encounter.
The scoring outlook is medium, and both teams scoring is difficult to separate, leaving that aspect finely balanced. The most plausible score patterns are 1:1, 0:1 and 1:2, reflecting a game that could remain level for long periods before a decisive moment. FC CFR 1907 Cluj will look to use home advantage to challenge Tromsoe IL, while the visitors appear to have a marginally stronger overall profile in this assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Play-off Opponent Set
The winner of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round tie between CFR Cluj and Tromsø IL will advance to face English Premier League side Brighton & Hove Albion in the play-off round.
Tromsø Domestic Result
Ahead of the first leg in Romania, Tromsø IL recorded a 6-2 away victory against Aalesund in the Norwegian Eliteserien.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.