Shkendija Tetovo — Hibernian FC: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 60.4% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 64.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.3% / 21.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.7% / 67.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.6% / 83.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Shkendija Tetovo and Hibernian FC meet in the UEFA Conference League, Qualification in a contest that appears evenly matched. The available assessment gives the fixture a moderate level of confidence, so there is no strong basis for expecting one side to control the game throughout. Both teams have a realistic route to a positive result, with the balance potentially decided by how well they manage the key phases of the match.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, and both teams are likely to find the net. That points towards an open but reasonably competitive encounter rather than a one-sided defensive battle. A 1:1 draw is one plausible scenario, while 1:2 and 0:1 also reflect the slight lean towards Hibernian FC in the broader outcome signal. Shkendija Tetovo should still have enough attacking threat to keep the match close, particularly if they make effective use of their opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round, Hibernian defeated KF Shkëndija 2-1 at Easter Road. Warren O'Hora scored the winning goal in the 90th minute.
Second leg venue
The return leg between KF Shkëndija and Hibernian takes place in North Macedonia at the National Arena Toše Proeski in Skopje.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.