FC Drita — SP Tre Fiori: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.9% |
| 12 | 92.2% | |
| X2 | 12.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.5% / 55.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.6% / 1.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.9% / 11.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 74.0% / 26.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 19.2% / 80.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Drita enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie as the clearly stronger side against SP Tre Fiori. The available assessment gives the hosts a high level of confidence, with the overall scoring outlook pointing towards an open and productive match. That suggests FC Drita should be able to impose the greater attacking threat, particularly if they establish control early and maintain pressure in advanced areas.
SP Tre Fiori face a demanding challenge, but the expectation is not that their scoring chances are absent. The assessment of both teams scoring remains balanced, meaning the visitors could still contribute if they take advantage of transitions or isolated opportunities. Even so, the main analytical signal favours FC Drita, with the most likely scorelines all indicating a comfortable home victory. The match therefore appears to lean strongly towards the hosts, while the exact margin may depend on how efficiently they convert their attacking opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
FC Drita leads 4-1 on aggregate
FC Drita secured a 4-1 away victory against SP Tre Fiori in San Marino in the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round.
Second leg match venue
The second leg matchup between FC Drita and SP Tre Fiori takes place at the Fadil Vokrri Stadium in Pristina.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.