FC Vaduz — FC Inter Turku: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.1% |
| 12 | 76.8% | |
| X2 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.5% / 40.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.3% / 17.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.1% / 39.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.7% / 62.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.3% / 79.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Vaduz meet FC Inter Turku in the UEFA Conference League qualification, with the hosts holding a slight edge according to the available assessment. The balance is not expected to be one-sided, but FC Vaduz appear better placed to control the key phases of the match, particularly if they can turn home advantage into sustained pressure.
The outlook points towards an open and high-scoring contest, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes defensive organisation important for both sides, as a single lapse could have a significant effect in a match where the attacking prospects are relatively strong. The main scoreline possibilities include 1-1, 2-1 and 2-0, reflecting a game that could remain competitive while still favouring FC Vaduz overall. FC Inter Turku should have opportunities, but FC Vaduz carry the more convincing side of the pre-match expectation.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
On August 6, 2026, FC Inter Turku secured a 2–1 home victory over FC Vaduz in the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round.
Inter Turku's previous round success
FC Inter Turku reached the third qualifying round after eliminating Turkish club Istanbul Basaksehir 3–1 on aggregate in the second round.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.