FC Dinamo Minsk — SC Braga: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 30.5% |
| 12 | 79.1% | |
| X2 | 90.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 40.5% / 59.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.4% / 25.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.8% / 73.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.1% / 94.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Dinamo Minsk face SC Braga in the UEFA Conference League, Qualification, with the visitors holding the clearer overall advantage. The assessment points to SC Braga as the stronger side, although the moderate confidence suggests that the match should be approached with some caution rather than treated as one-sided in every phase. FC Dinamo Minsk will need to stay compact and limit the space available to the Portuguese team, particularly if SC Braga are able to control possession and dictate the tempo.
The match is expected to produce a moderate number of goals, while a clean sheet appears more likely than both teams scoring. That combination supports a disciplined away performance, with SC Braga capable of creating enough opportunities without necessarily turning the game into an open contest. The most plausible scorelines are 0:1, 0:2 and 0:3, all of which reflect the same general pattern: FC Dinamo Minsk may find scoring difficult, while SC Braga have the greater attacking threat and a solid chance of progressing with a controlled victory.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round on August 6, 2026, SC Braga secured a 1-0 home victory over FC Dinamo Minsk through a penalty scored by Ricardo Horta.
Second-leg venue
The second leg on August 13, 2026 between FC Dinamo Minsk and SC Braga is hosted at a neutral venue, the Beroe Stadium in Stara Zagora, Bulgaria.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.