FC Midtjylland — Bohemians Dublin FC: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.6% |
| 12 | 87.7% | |
| X2 | 17.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.7% / 54.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.8% / 3.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.1% / 71.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Midtjylland go into this UEFA Conference League qualification tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence in the home outcome. The available assessment points to a strong attacking performance from the hosts, and the likely scorelines all reflect control from FC Midtjylland rather than a closely balanced contest. Bohemians Dublin FC will need to defend effectively and limit the space available to the home attack if they are to keep the match competitive.
The scoring outlook is high, suggesting that the game could produce several goals, although the assessment is less decisive on whether both teams will score. That makes a clean-sheet victory for FC Midtjylland a notable possibility, while Bohemians Dublin FC remain capable of contributing if they take advantage of limited opportunities. Overall, the match profile favours FC Midtjylland to impose the tempo and create the clearer chances, with scorelines such as 2-0, 3-0 or 4-0 consistent with the broader analysis.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg advantage
FC Midtjylland entered the second leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round with a 2-0 aggregate lead over Bohemians FC following their first-leg victory in Dublin.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.