Hammarby IF — RKS Rakow Czestochowa: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.2% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 38.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.8% / 6.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.5% / 19.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.4% / 65.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Hammarby IF enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie with a clear, though not overwhelming, edge over RKS Rakow Czestochowa. The assessment points towards a medium-scoring match, with Hammarby IF better placed to control the overall balance of play. Their advantage is meaningful, but the moderate confidence level suggests that the contest could still remain competitive for long periods.
The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match may develop in either a more controlled or more open direction. Hammarby IF appear more likely to create the stronger platform, while RKS Rakow Czestochowa retain enough potential to make the outcome uncertain if they find space in transition or respond well to pressure. A narrow home success and a draw both fit the broader picture, with the main expectation being a competitive game rather than a one-sided affair.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
The first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round tie between Raków Częstochowa and Hammarby IF ended in a 0-0 draw on August 6 in Częstochowa.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.