Match intelligence

DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda — FC Twente Enschede: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026

League: UEFA Conference League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda3
:
3FC Twente Enschede
Locked signal BTTS Probability 61.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 20.7% Home win DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda
X 23.4% Draw
W2 55.9% Away win FC Twente Enschede
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X279.3%
Both teams to score
Yes61.6%
Totals 2.5
Over62.6%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X44.1%
1276.6%
X279.3%
Both teams to scoreYes/No61.6% / 38.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 94.9% / 5.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 84.3% / 15.7%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 62.6% / 37.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 40.4% / 59.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 22.4% / 77.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 10.9% / 89.1%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda × FC Twente Enschede
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 5.1%
0:1 7.0%
0:2 8.2%
0:3 5.6%
0:4 2.9%
0:5 1.2%
1
1:0 3.6%
1:1 10.7%
1:2 9.8%
1:3 6.7%
1:4 3.4%
1:5 1.4%
2
2:0 2.8%
2:1 5.7%
2:2 5.8%
2:3 4.0%
2:4 2.0%
2:5 0.8%
3
3:0 1.1%
3:1 2.3%
3:2 2.3%
3:3 1.6%
3:4 0.8%
3:5 0.3%
4
4:0 0.3%
4:1 0.7%
4:2 0.7%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.7%
1:29.8%
0:28.2%
0:17.0%
1:36.7%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda face FC Twente Enschede in a UEFA Conference League qualifying tie that projects as an open and competitive encounter. The attacking outlook points towards a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests the game may be shaped by the quality of chances created rather than prolonged control from either side.

There is a slight edge for FC Twente Enschede, although the moderate confidence level indicates that the contest remains finely balanced. DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda should have opportunities to threaten, particularly if they can make effective use of their attacking phases, while FC Twente Enschede appear better placed to turn their chances into a narrow advantage. A draw remains a credible scenario, with a closely fought result such as 1:1 possible, while 1:2 or 0:2 also fit the broader expectation of an away win in an open match.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

First-leg result

FC Twente secured a dominant 6-0 win over DAC 1904 in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League third-round qualifying tie.

Schedule

Full week of preparation

DAC 1904 received a full week of rest ahead of the second leg after their domestic league fixture against Kosice was postponed.

Schedule

Recent result for FC Twente

Following their first-leg European win, FC Twente suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Heerenveen in their opening match of the Eredivisie season.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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