Match intelligence

Maxline Vitebsk — FK Borac Banja Luka: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026

League: UEFA Conference League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Maxline Vitebsk2
:
1FK Borac Banja Luka
Locked signal 1X Probability 65.2% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 37.6% Home win Maxline Vitebsk
X 27.6% Draw
W2 34.8% Away win FK Borac Banja Luka
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1272.4%
Both teams to score
Yes56.5%
Totals 2.5
Over51.5%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X65.2%
1272.4%
X262.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No56.5% / 43.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.5% / 7.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 76.7% / 23.3%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 51.5% / 48.5%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 29.3% / 70.7%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 14.2% / 85.8%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.0% / 94.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Maxline Vitebsk × FK Borac Banja Luka
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.5%
0:1 7.7%
0:2 5.8%
0:3 2.6%
0:4 0.9%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 8.1%
1:1 13.1%
1:2 8.1%
1:3 3.6%
1:4 1.2%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 6.3%
2:1 8.5%
2:2 5.7%
2:3 2.5%
2:4 0.8%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 3.0%
3:1 3.9%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 1.2%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.0%
4:1 1.4%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.3%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.1%
2:18.5%
1:28.1%
1:08.1%
0:17.7%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Maxline Vitebsk face FK Borac Banja Luka in the UEFA Conference League qualification, with the matchup appearing finely balanced. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, suggesting that the contest could be decided by small details rather than a sustained difference in quality. Home advantage may help Maxline Vitebsk, but FK Borac Banja Luka have a comparable overall outlook in this fixture.

The game is expected to produce a moderate number of goals, making an open but controlled encounter plausible. There is no strong indication that both teams will definitely find the net, so that aspect remains difficult to separate in advance. A draw is a credible scenario, while either team could also edge the match if it makes better use of its chances. Overall, the evidence points to an evenly matched qualification tie with a moderate level of confidence rather than a decisive pre-match call.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

First-leg qualification result

In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round on August 6, 2026, FK Borac Banja Luka defeated Maxline Vitebsk 1–0.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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