Sheffield United — Wrexham AFC: Win probabilities, 30.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
37.7%
Home win
Sheffield United
X
27.3%
Draw
W2
35.0%
Away win
Wrexham AFC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1272.7%
Both teams to score
Yes57.5%
Totals 2.5
Over52.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.0% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 62.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.7% / 22.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.5% / 69.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.0% / 85.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.4% / 93.6% |
Goal distribution model
Sheffield United × Wrexham AFC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.1%
0:1
7.4%
0:2
5.7%
0:3
2.6%
0:4
0.9%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
7.8%
1:1
12.9%
1:2
8.2%
1:3
3.7%
1:4
1.3%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.2%
2:1
8.5%
2:2
5.8%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
0.9%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.0%
3:1
4.0%
3:2
2.8%
3:3
1.3%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.1%
4:1
1.4%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.9%
2:18.5%
1:28.2%
1:07.8%
0:17.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.10.2026
Sheffield United
12th place · 16 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Derby 1:1
- 17.10.2026 away Bristol City 1:0
- 14.10.2026 away Portsmouth 2:3
- 10.10.2026 home Lincoln 3:0
- 19.09.2026 away Stoke 1:2
Wrexham AFC
17th place · 14 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Blackburn 0:2
- 17.10.2026 home Preston 4:1
- 13.10.2026 home West Brom 1:2
- 10.10.2026 away Derby 1:1
- 19.09.2026 home Southampton 2:1
This season: Sheffield United at home vs Wrexham AFC away
| Metric | Sheffield United · at home | Wrexham AFC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–2 | 1–3–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| xG for per match | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| xG against per match | 1.69 | 1.14 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 2.83 |
| Corners per match | 3.83 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Sheffield United wins0
Draws0
Wrexham AFC wins2
Goals per match5.50
Both teams scored2/2
Over 2.5 goals2/2
- 21.03.2026 Sheffield United 1:2 Wrexham AFC
- 26.12.2025 Wrexham AFC 5:3 Sheffield United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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