Sheffield United — Norwich City: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.0% |
| 12 | 72.1% | |
| X2 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.4% / 37.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.1% / 17.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Sheffield United
9th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 home Bolton 3:2
- 29.08.2026 away Cardiff 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Swansea 0:0
- 15.08.2026 home Birmingham 0:0
- 02.05.2026 away Derby 2:1
Norwich City
20th place · 3 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 away Stoke 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Burnley 4:1
- 22.08.2026 away Millwall 0:3
- 15.08.2026 home West Brom 1:2
- 02.05.2026 away Hull 1:2
This season: Sheffield United at home vs Norwich City away
| Metric | Sheffield United · at home | Norwich City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| xG against per match | 1.34 | 1.45 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 11.03.2026 Norwich City 2:1 Sheffield United
- 09.12.2025 Sheffield United 1:1 Norwich City
- 18.01.2025 Sheffield United 2:0 Norwich City
- 24.08.2024 Norwich City 1:1 Sheffield United
- 01.04.2023 Norwich City 0:1 Sheffield United
- 22.10.2022 Sheffield United 2:2 Norwich City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sheffield United and Norwich City meet in the Championship in a fixture that appears closely balanced. The available assessment describes the teams as evenly matched, with only moderate confidence in the overall reading. That points to a contest where neither side holds a clear structural advantage, and the outcome may depend on which team manages the key phases of the match more effectively.
The scoring outlook is medium, while both teams are considered likely to find the net. This suggests an open enough game without necessarily becoming a high-scoring encounter. Sheffield United may have a slight degree of protection through the home setting, but Norwich City have a credible route into the match and should be capable of creating pressure. A draw is a plausible outcome, with the balance also allowing for either side to edge the game if it converts its opportunities more efficiently.
What matters before kick-off
Norwich City Squad Updates
Norwich City head coach Philippe Clement confirmed that Paris Maghoma returns to the matchday squad after two weeks out. Additionally, Jovon Makama has resumed team training following an absence of nearly six months.
Sheffield United Midweek Victory
Sheffield United head into the fixture following a 3-2 comeback victory against Bolton Wanderers in midweek, maintaining their unbeaten start to the Championship campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.