Queens Park Rangers — Middlesbrough FC: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 56.6% |
| 12 | 73.5% | |
| X2 | 69.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.4% / 37.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.9% / 6.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.4% / 17.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.7% / 63.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Queens Park Rangers
2nd place · 10 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 home Cardiff 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Bolton 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Portsmouth 3:1
- 02.05.2026 away Ipswich 0:3
Middlesbrough FC
6th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 away Burnley 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home West Brom 3:1
- 22.08.2026 away Blackburn 1:2
- 15.08.2026 home Lincoln 2:1
- 02.05.2026 away Wrexham 2:2
This season: Queens Park Rangers at home vs Middlesbrough FC away
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers · at home | Middlesbrough FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.28 | 1.33 |
| xG against per match | 0.38 | 0.77 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 5.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.03.2026 Queens Park Rangers 0:4 Middlesbrough FC
- 13.12.2025 Middlesbrough FC 3:1 Queens Park Rangers
- 11.03.2025 Middlesbrough FC 2:1 Queens Park Rangers
- 05.11.2024 Queens Park Rangers 1:4 Middlesbrough FC
- 09.03.2024 Queens Park Rangers 0:2 Middlesbrough FC
- 02.09.2023 Middlesbrough FC 0:2 Queens Park Rangers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Queens Park Rangers host Middlesbrough FC in a Championship meeting that looks relatively balanced, although the visitors carry a slight edge. The available assessment points towards a competitive game rather than a one-sided contest, with neither side clearly separated from the other. Middlesbrough FC appear marginally better placed to avoid defeat, while Queens Park Rangers should remain capable of influencing the match on home ground.
The scoring outlook is medium, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests a game shaped by chances at both ends rather than a tightly closed encounter. A draw remains a credible possibility, but the overall signal favours Middlesbrough FC in the double-chance market, meaning the visitors have the stronger position across the main result scenarios. Queens Park Rangers will need to limit the spaces available in transition and make their possession count, while Middlesbrough FC can look to apply steady pressure without overcommitting.
What matters before kick-off
Team news and squad availability
Queens Park Rangers are without injured defender Boy Kemper and forward Karamoko Dembele. Middlesbrough are missing defender Alex Bangura.
Head-to-head streak
Middlesbrough have won each of their last five meetings with Queens Park Rangers across all competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.