Shamrock Rovers — KF Egnatia Rrogozhine: Win probabilities, 04.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.0% |
| 12 | 72.8% | |
| X2 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.8% / 9.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.9% / 24.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.0% / 51.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.2% / 94.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Shamrock Rovers have a slight but credible edge over KF Egnatia Rrogozhine in this UEFA Europa League qualifying tie. The overall signal favors the home side avoiding defeat, while the balance of the matchup still leaves room for a draw. That suggests a competitive game rather than a one-sided contest, with Shamrock Rovers likely to have the stronger platform at home.
The scoring outlook is moderate, and both teams finding the net remains difficult to separate. The most plausible match patterns point toward a narrow Shamrock Rovers win or a level result, with a one-goal margin appearing more likely than a wide victory. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine should remain involved if they can withstand the home side's pressure and make effective use of their opportunities. Overall, Shamrock Rovers hold the clearer side of the pre-match assessment, but the evidence supports caution rather than expecting a decisive outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Shamrock Rovers team news
Shamrock Rovers head coach Stephen Bradley confirmed ahead of the match that Dan Cleary, Danny Grant, Victor Ozhianvuna, John McGovern, and Connor Malley remain unavailable through injury against KF Egnatia.
Recent League Result for Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers enter the fixture against Albanian side KF Egnatia following a 0-0 away draw against Drogheda United in the League of Ireland Premier Division on 31 July 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.