Jagiellonia Bialystok — Glasgow Rangers: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.5% |
| 12 | 71.2% | |
| X2 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.2% / 8.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.9% / 26.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.5% / 52.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.8% / 74.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Jagiellonia Bialystok and Glasgow Rangers appear evenly matched in this UEFA Europa League qualification fixture. The assessment carries moderate confidence, with no clear separation between the teams overall. That points toward a competitive contest in which neither side can be assumed to control the game for long periods.
The scoring outlook is medium, while both teams scoring remains difficult to call. The most plausible match patterns include a balanced draw, a narrow Glasgow Rangers victory, or a goalless encounter. This gives Glasgow Rangers a slight edge in the safer result range, but the underlying expectation remains close rather than one-sided. Jagiellonia Bialystok should still have a realistic opportunity to stay competitive, particularly if the match develops cautiously. With the teams closely matched, small details and the management of defensive phases may carry considerable weight.
What matters before kick-off
Europa League qualifying start after domestic results
Rangers travel to Poland for the first leg of their UEFA Europa League third qualifying round tie against Jagiellonia Białystok following a draw with Dundee United in their Scottish Premiership opener. Jagiellonia enter the match having won their opening two Ekstraklasa fixtures.
Potential play-off round opponent
The winner of the third qualifying round tie between Rangers and Jagiellonia Białystok will advance to the Europa League play-off round to face either Larne or Iberia 1999.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.