FC Hradec Kralove — Besiktas Istanbul: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 45.2% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 80.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.3% / 69.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.9% / 85.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Hradec Kralove face Besiktas Istanbul in a UEFA Europa League qualification tie where the visitors hold a slight edge. The assessment points toward a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with Besiktas Istanbul favoured to avoid defeat. FC Hradec Kralove should still have opportunities, but the overall balance gives the visitors the stronger position.
The expected scoring profile is medium-scoring, with 1:1, 0:1 and 0:2 among the most likely scorelines. That range reflects a game that could remain close while still offering Besiktas Istanbul a route to victory through greater control of key moments. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, so the match may depend on which side converts its limited chances more effectively. A narrow away win or a draw appears more consistent with the available assessment than a home victory.
What matters before kick-off
Europa League qualifying fixture
FC Hradec Králové hosts Beşiktaş JK in the first leg of the 2026/27 UEFA Europa League third qualifying round at Malšovická Aréna on August 6, 2026.
Previous round results
In the second qualifying round of the Europa League, FC Hradec Králové eliminated Norwegian side Tromsø IL 4-1 on aggregate, while Beşiktaş progressed past Danish club FC Midtjylland 3-0 on aggregate.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.