Lincoln Red Imps — AC Omonia Nicosia: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 31.8% |
| 12 | 81.2% | |
| X2 | 87.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.3% / 51.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.8% / 21.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.7% / 66.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.3% / 82.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Lincoln Red Imps face a demanding UEFA Europa League qualification test against AC Omonia Nicosia. The available assessment gives AC Omonia Nicosia a clear advantage, although confidence is moderate rather than absolute. That points to a match in which the visitors are expected to control more of the important phases, particularly if they can impose their preferred tempo and avoid allowing Lincoln Red Imps to turn the contest into an open exchange.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with the most plausible scenarios favouring a controlled AC Omonia Nicosia victory rather than a high-scoring game. Possible scorelines include 0:2, 0:1 and 1:2, reflecting both the visitors’ stronger position and some room for Lincoln Red Imps to create a response. Whether both teams score remains finely balanced, so the main analytical signal is the away result rather than a firm expectation about goals from both sides.
What matters before kick-off
Transition from Champions League Qualifiers
Both Lincoln Red Imps and Omonia Nicosia entered the Europa League 3rd qualifying round after being eliminated from the Champions League qualifiers in the previous round.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.