FC Salzburg — Pafos FC: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.2% |
| 12 | 80.4% | |
| X2 | 35.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.9% / 44.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.7% / 17.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.6% / 38.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.3% / 60.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.6% / 78.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.3% / 89.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Salzburg go into this UEFA Europa League qualification tie as the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the assessment is not without uncertainty. Their main advantage is expected to come through the overall attacking threat, with the match profile pointing towards an open contest and several scoring opportunities. Pafos FC will need to remain compact and manage the tempo carefully if they are to limit the hosts’ influence.
The scoring outlook favours a high-scoring game, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. That combination makes the match difficult to frame as a straightforward defensive battle. FC Salzburg have the clearer edge, but Pafos FC retain a realistic path to making the tie competitive, particularly if they can convert their chances efficiently. Plausible scorelines include a narrow home win such as 2:1, a 2:0 result, or a 1:1 draw.
What matters before kick-off
Pafos FC's qualifying progression
Pafos FC reached the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round by overcoming Croatian side Hajduk Split 4-2 on aggregate in the previous round.
FC Salzburg injury updates
Austrian club FC Salzburg are missing Justin Omoregie, Anrie Chase, and Stefan Lainer due to injuries.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.